Trump raises uncertainty – and Xi Jinping sees the opportunity ncvrs.com

If China was angry in the United States for imposing an extra 10% tariff for all Chinese goods, it did a good job.

He urged Washington to start negotiations after repeated warnings that there would be no winners in the trade war.

He kept the fire in Washington until midnight -and only as the Chinese tariffs started, Beijing announced 10-15%retaliatory tariffs from February 10 for various American imports, including coal, crude oil and large cars.

The Chinese government may have remained relaxed in the hope that Washington has made an agreement to avoid further tariffs – and not to contact the two largest farms in the world.

After all, US President Donald Trump agreed that a few hours before the tariffs on them came into force with Canada and Mexico. Trump and China President Xi Jinping are expected to speak this week.

The US tax Will Sting – mainly because it adds Trump Trump, which was led to tens of billions of dollars in Chinese imports in its first cycle. And China’s population is already worried about their slow economy.

Beijing and Washington had already gone to toes with the tariffs. But a lot has changed since Trump 1.0.

On the one hand, the Chinese economy does not rely on the United States like in 2020. Beijing confirmed his trade agreements in Africa, South America and Southeast -Eastern. This is now the largest trading partner in more than 120 countries.

Chong Ja Ian, 10% of Carnegie from China, cannot offer an agreement, but 10% does not offer the leverage Trump wants.

President Xi Jinping can also see a greater opportunity here.

Trump is sowing the division in his own garden, threatening to even affect the European Union (EU) with tariffs – all in the first month of office. In his activities, other American allies can be what they have.

In contrast, China wants to appear as a relaxed, stable and perhaps more attractive global trading partner.

“Trump America’s first policy will bring challenges and threats in almost every country in the world,” says Yun Sun, director of the Stimson Center Chinese program.

“US-China’s strategic competition will be beneficial to China for US leadership and credibility. It is unlikely that it is unlikely to turn to China, but Beijing will surely try to make lemonade …”

As the leader of the world’s second largest economy, Xi did not make the secret to China Alternative world order.

Covid Pandemic has traveled widely since the end of the end and supported larger international institutions such as the World Bank and Paris climate agreements.

Chinese state media portrayed this as the countries of the world and deepens diplomatic relations.

Before, when Trump stopped US funding for the WHO In 2020, China promised further funds. High expectations for Beijing to enter to re -fill America’s shoes after Washington quits the WHO.

The same applies to freezing freezing, which causes such chaos in countries and organizations that have long been dependent on US funding – China can fill in the gap despite the economic downturn.

He took office on his first day, Trump frozen all foreign help provided by the United Stateswhich is far from the world’s greatest aid. Hundreds of foreign aid programs shipped by the USAID Ground stopped. Some have been restarted since then, but aid entrepreneurs describe the ongoing chaos as the agency’s future hangs in balance.

John Delury, a modern Chinese historian and professor at the University of Seoul Yons, can further weaken Washington’s global leadership.

“A combination of tariffs for larger commercial partners and foreign assistance sends a message to Global South and OECD that the United States is not interested in international partnership, cooperation,” he says to the BBC.

“President Xi’s consistent message on” win-win “is a whole new meaning when America retires from the world.”

In his offer for global governance, Beijing sought to destroy the US world order of the last 50 years – and may be the uncertainty of Trump’s presidency.

“Regardless of being one of Beijing’s most important benefits – I’m a little less sure,” says Chong.

“Many American allies and partners, especially the quiet ocean, have a reason to cooperate with Beijing, but they also have a reason to be careful. That’s why we saw Japan, South Korea, Philippines and Australia, partly closer to each other , partly closer to each other.

According to the Australian International Affairs Institute, the “Effect of the Second Trump Administration” motivated by “the effect of a second Trump administration” is motivated by Australia, Japan and South Korea, motivated by the “effect of second Trump administration”.

All three are concerned China in the South -China Sea, the Philippines. They are worried about a possible war on the self -controlled Taiwanese island – Beijing sees an outburst province that eventually becomes part of the country and did not rule out the use of power to achieve this.

Taiwan has long been one of the most controversial issues in US-China’s relations when Beijing condemned support for Washington Taipei.

But Washington may be difficult to return to Signs of Chinese aggression when Trump repeatedly threatens to attach or buy Canada.

Most countries in the region have used a military alliance with Washington to balance their economic relations with China.

But now, carefully from Beijing and in the United States, they can create new Asian alliances, not with one of the world’s greatest powers.

Trump announced the United States’ tariffs over the weekend as Chinese families celebrate the New Year and invite the god of wealth to their home.

Bright red lights are currently on the empty Beijing streets, as most workers went to their hometown during the biggest celebration of the year.

Initially, China’s only reaction was to take legal action and use the World Trade Organization to start off.

But that is little danger to Washington. The WTO dispute resolution system has actually been stopped since 2019 when Donald Trump, in his first cycle, blocked the appointment of judges to treat appeals.

Then China announced the retaliatory tariffs. As the holiday relies on closing and party officials return to Beijing and work, they have decisions.

Officers have been encouraged in recent weeks to keep the Trump administration stable, especially if they called the two leaders a “great phone call” last month.

But this will become more and more difficult as Republicans and Democrats are increasingly regarded as the greatest foreign policy and economic threat of America.

“Mr. Trump’s unpredictability, impulsiveness and recklessness will inevitably lead to significant shocks in bilateral relationships,” says Wu Xinbo, professor and director of Fudan University’s American Studies Center.

“In addition, his team contains a lot of hawks, even the extreme hawks in China. It is inevitable that the bilateral relationship has serious disruption over the next four years.”

China is certainly concerned about its relationship with the United States and the harmful effects of the commercial war on the slowing economy.

At the same time, it also strives to be used to use the current political pendulum to use the international community and its spheres of influence.